Unemployment is a common word nowadays. It is observed that in spite of education, there are many people that remain without jobs. Widespread and persistent unemployment is one of the serious macroeconomic problems, both developing and developed countries in the world. Unemployment brings a large number of socio-economic problems in many divers' ways. The negative crash of unemployment is divers and delicate. In addition if the output of income is low its leads to the rising income inequality, ill health and mortality, loss of human capital and skills, migration, loss of human capital relation, loss of motivation for future works and social life. For that reason it is very important to be aware of the nature and effects of unemployment. We should also have to design suitable policies and programmers to contest it. In this component that will be introduced to the perception classification, and measurement of unemployment. From this a person will be able to analyze the tendency and consequence of unemployment, and evaluate effectiveness of different programs and policies that are initiate by state and central government to reduce the unemployment in economy.
Definition of unemployment
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We might have listen to about unemployment from our friend and relative are jobless they don't have jobs opportunities even after being effectively educated.
To most, the word unemployed means remain without work. Basically the word Unemployment is define as " it is that condition when the people have no job or remain being out of work or proportion of people that are able to do work actively and searching for jobs but they are unable to find any job."
IMF report (1998) defines as:-
'Unemployment is measured annually as the labor force percentage that are unable to find a job'. Unemployment also defines as the proportion of people in the working population that are jobless and unemployed.
Unemployment is basically a persistent challenge that is facing Pakistan since its inception and it Â is one of the biggest problems of Pakistan.. An unemployed person can be define as who is an active part of the labor force and he is able to and looks for work, but is unable to find work for the duration of a precise reference period that might be a week ,a month or a whole year.
According to current situation in Pakistan more than 30 lack people are unemployed and unemployment ratio is more than 12%.
The unemployment issue of Pakistan is increasing more in rural areas where almost 70% of the Population is living. Their livelihoods depend on rural economy. They have lack of basic necessities such as primary health care, education, job opportunities, social services and some other issues due to unemployment increasing gradually. The biggest reason of unemployment is backwardness of agriculture sector in Pakistan economy. Agriculture sector is the largest sector of Pakistan economy it contributes 20.9% to GDP and 44% people directly or indirectly get jobs opportunities from this sector. Unemployment in agriculture sector arises from two sides.
First reasons for increase unemployment in agriculture sector are adoption of latest machinery and the use of capital intensive technology. From these reasons, demand for labor is decreased gradually. Second reason of unemployment in agriculture sectored is the backwardness of agriculture sector. There is less availability of quality seeds, pesticides, and fertilizers, nonappearance of land restructuring and deficiency in agricultural education. From these reasons or these factors agriculture sector is not growing or flourishing and due to these problems there is general and disguised unemployment occurs.
Industrial sector is the second largest sector of our economy and it contributes 19% to national income of economy. A large number of labor employed by this sectors. But due to backwardness in industrial sectors a small number of people are employing. Due to electricity breakdown it already established industry is deteriorating, resulting is the prevailing unemployment ratio. In Pakistan education system is very defective. There is lack of appropriate educational planning. There is shortage of technical and vocational institutions in economy. The attitude of public towards education is not sober; they want to obtain their degrees in general and arts subject. Nobody is ready to establish his own business without attaining the technical education. Majority of the businessmen in Pakistan are less educated and unskilled. They don't have proper knowledge and they don't know how to run their businesses properly and effectively. So they become bankrupt in a country. This factor and reasons generates unemployment on a massive level.
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Change in demographic structure is the major reason of increase in unemployment, women participation in labor force, immigration from rural areas to town, many economic crises in a society and technological unemployment in these societies. On the other hand unemployment is basically not only a economic problem but it is also a social problem and that may cause crimes and deform social fabric. The struggle against unemployment is not limited the unemployment rate in the economy but also to take a consideration into the relationship with macro economic variables such as we can take the example of economic growth, exchange rate and inflation natural unemployment In the economy can be summarized as change in demographic structure, many oil crises, enlarge Capitan intensive production, labor unions, loss of power, increase in productivity, productive growth, decrease in wages rise, firm structure and structure of policies that regulating in labor market are imbalances in rural as well as in urban areas. Another major factor is Inflation is that may affect unemployment. In the past 20year the rapid and wide spread diffusion of computer information technology at a work place is one of the most important and notable trend. This development has prompted both a great concern that its effects the employment and enhance the job skill requirement that increase the economic inequality and great deal of excitement that information technology serve as engine of economic growth.
Types of unemployment
In detail understanding the meaning of unemployment, now we will talk about the different types of unemployment. Generally, unemployment can be separated into two different types: that are voluntary, and involuntary, unemployment.
Voluntary and involuntary unemployment
Voluntary unemployment occur due to motive that are explicit to an individual, whereas involuntary unemployment is foundation by a huge quantity of socio-economic factors, for example level and composition of aggregate demand, structure of the market, government intervention, and so on.
Therefore, the Unemployment has different kinds depending on the nature, origin, and period of unemployment. Let us now talk about various types of unemployment. Unemployment is broadly classified in following group.
There are different types of unemployment we can define them in five categories such as frictional unemployment, structural unemployment, cyclical unemployment, classical unemployment and demand deficit etc.
Frictional unemployment includes those people that are unable to do work and the accumulation of people moving between jobs. its happened due to the discrepancy in the timing due to this people leave one job and starts another job. Frictional unemployment pass on to a renovation period of searching for a new job, for different reason, such as looking for a better job, being passionate from a present job, or having voluntarily current job. The phase of current to a new job is referred to known as frictional unemployment.
The other type of unemployment is Seasonal unemployment that is a type of frictional unemployment, it occurs in a definite activities or profession which is describe by seasonal work. the example of seasonal unemployment is lack of job through non-cultivation in rural areas.
Structural unemployment occurs when there is the long-term changes happened in the patterns of production and demand within an economy .This kind of unemployment takes place when there is numerous transform in technology and consumer demand in the economy. For example, when computers were initiate many workers were displacing because of a divergence between the accessible skills of the workers and the obligation of the job. Though jobs were accessible, there was a demand for a new category of ability and qualification. So, persons having old skills are not able to get employment and job opportunity in the distorted economic domination and stay unemployed. This is known a structural unemployment.
In cyclical unemployment comprise those workers who dismiss when the overall economy suffers a downturn. When there is an economy is broad decrease in aggregate demand for different commodities and services, employment turn down and unemployment in the same way increases. as a result it is sometime referred to as 'demand lacking unemployment'. For example during the current global slowdown, in late 2008, many workers in the region of the globe vanished their jobs.
Natural rate of unemployment
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Natural rate of unemployment is basically the total of structural unemployment and frictional unemployment that is stated as the natural rate of unemployment of economy .Open unemployment happen when a person is voluntarily or involuntarily and keeps himself out of deliberation for definite jobs. For example In1980s there was a quick decreas in the coal and steel industries in the UK. That's caused a large number increased in structural unemployment in those areas for example industries of South Wales sun-set etc.
All the developing countries, including India endure from structural unemployment, which survive both in open and disguised structure. The major problem in underdeveloped countries can be analysis better as underemployment a fractional lack of work, low employment income, and under utilization of skills, underutilization of natural resources or low productivity, slightly issue of unemployment as argue above. Thus, underemployment explain the condition of those person who are able to do work at part time because full time jobs is unavailable or employed one full time foundation but the services they turn into might be in fact much less than as compared to full time as known as disguised underemployment and those who are employed in profession have need of inferior levels of talent than they are to be qualified for, that a name is hidden underemployment. A related concept is that of working poor those who are actually work for long hours but they earn only at low income lower than the poverty line. On the other hand working poor people is definite as situation when the individuals or households, in spite of being employed, stay put in comparative poverty due to diminishing levels of wages and their earnings.
It is essential to note that the kinds and nature of unemployment fluctuate extensively in underdeveloped and developed economies. Unemployment in developed countries occurs due to the lack of required effective demand or economic slowdown, such as recession, or depression. In developing countries, unemployment happens largely because of a lower demand for labor or inadequate employment opportunity in these economies. These situations take place due to the survival nature of many agriculture sectors, a lower industrial foundation and the many small size of the tertiary sector of economy. Let us now discuss the different concepts of unemployment that are related to developing countries, including India. They have less income that is below the poverty line. In other words, poor working community is describe as a Situation when the households or individuals, in spite of individual employed, stay behind in comparative poverty due to low levels of earnings and wages .
Classical unemployment is the view of unemployment that put forward by classical economists. It occurs when the real wage is too high. The contribution of Real variables is acquiring account from the different price level and the contribution of nominal variables does not do so. According to the framework of classical, basically the prices and the wages are absolutely flexible so to maintain the economy at a full-employment level.
Demand-Deficient Unemployment refers to unemployment within the framework of Keynesian, where the aggregate demand level is under that essential for the achievement of full-employment level in the economy.
In Pakistan mostly unemployment occurs as cyclical and structural nature. Basically Unemployment is a middle problem for the reason that when unemployment rate is high, resources in that economy are not utilized by properly and are wasted and due to that reasons people's incomes become miserable during such time periods, economies become distress and also tip out over to affect of people's emotions and many other family lives. There are many of reason of unemployment that arises in Pakistan. These causes of unemployment are stated below. Some of the causes of unemployment that are usually aware, the main problem is that there are over population in the economy and comparing that there is lack of work and jobs. Some of the significant of unemployment are stated as the high rate of growing population and the subsequent increase in labor force; low velocity of economic growth, need of sufficient employment opportunities in non-agricultural activities and creation of seasonal employment, or need of full time employment in agriculture; low labor incorporation capacities in industrialized and tertiary activities; shifting from labor-intensive to capital, Skill-intensive production technique and expansion in education system, and so on.
Let us now we will briefly elaborate these causes. Low and unpredictable levels of economic growth do not generate sufficient employment opportunities, as desired. in addition, many rates the different sectoral work of art of growth is considered as most important determinant of unemployment. Extreme dependence on agriculture sector and slow growth of non-farm activities is the cause of limit employment generation. Utilization of capital-intensive technique and production practice not only dislocate presently employed persons, but also measured down the generation of new employment opportunities. There is the need of a clear and glowing developed human resource policy and manpower policy, may show the way to a disparity between the need and accessibility of appropriate skills and training, which outcome is unemployment, mainly of youth and educated,speedy growth in population, deficiency of employability due to poor health and nourishment that also show the way to unemployment. Insufficient of investment and other infrastructure development are the major factors that are not producing the sufficient levels of employment in the economy, and as a result unemployment rises in economy.
Insufficient accessibility of unemployment insurance and public employment programmers also source a increase in unemployment. Such as smuggling in large scale that is flooded the market in local industry the cheaper goods are created a serious danger for the development of these industries. Economies is control by stretched bureaucratic, there is complex tax system insufficient credit facilities and are many other factors are enhancing the problems in the way of development of private sector as well as investment in industrial projects of economy.
Now we will discuss the problem of under employment and working poor.
Underemployment problem might acquire different forms, such as limited requirement of work; low income comes from employment, and less utilization of skills, knowledge or less productivity. On the other hand, the underemployed person are those which look for and are accessible for alternative work, moreover because the quantum of current work is not sufficient, or not remunerative sufficient In this section, we will talk about two important component of underemployment, that is. First, the occurrences of poor working papulation are the category of employment and extensive sector, and second, insufficient accessibility of work.
The working poor might be depict like individuals and families who preserve regular Employment but residue in relative poverty because of low levels of wage and earning Approximately one fourth of the total workforce functions at income level, which is below the predetermine levels of MPCE that are being used to identified the poverty line in India. It is significant to note that the frequency of working poor is highest among the workers who work informal The occurrence of working poor population is too high for the self employed workers. The extent of working poor is more in urban areas as contrast to rural areas for all category of employment. There are significant variations in the section of working poor population in wide sectors of economy .A larger proportion of primary sector that is agriculture workers are poor contrast to workers in secondary and tertiary sectors. Yet again, in urban areas the occurrence of working poor population is bigger than as compared to rural areas in all of these broad sectors.
Youth unemployment is also a very serious problem with much socio-economic implication. Unemployment that surrounded in youth that cause not only a social cost in stipulations of probable loss of talent and training, except also it is protracted, it will generate unrest Among the youth and capacity that go ahead to family argument, alcohol, drug, suicide and abuse, For expediency, in this unit, we have distinct 'youth' as persons old 15 to29 years. In conditions of all the four measures of unemployment, the rates unemployment are maximum for persons who are old 20 to 24 years. The rates unemployment is considered higher for urban comunity at unreliable age groups. The unemployment rates have amplified for those persons whose age groups fall during 1993-9412004-05. Therefore, the occurrence of youth unemployment has an increasing tendency and it is more delicate in urban areas. Special employment policies and programmers need to be prepare
to address the problem of youth unemployment.
The level of education is an significant correlate of unemployment. There is a general belief that education level and rates of unemployment are inversely linked with each other. The level of education is an imperative associate to unemployment. There is a general certainty that education level and unemployment rates are inversely related with each other, the illiteracy rate in 1993-94 rural male and female was 1.8 and 2.2 respectively, in 1999-00 was 3.0 and 2.7 and in 2004-05 was 2.7 and 2.5 respectively. And in urban areas illiteracy rate in 1993-94 of 2.2 of male as well as female, in 199-00 was 3.1 of male and 2.0 of female and fanly in 2004-05 2.8 of males and 2.5 women were illiterate. But, an Unemployment rate is very high for educated workers. This is real fact for both male and female workers, with in rural and urban areas. Illiterate person or workers through low level of education that do not have sufficient employment options. Consequently, they cannot meet the expense and they wait for a improved employment opportunity. From divergent educated and trained workers in the favor to keep on unemployed till they obtain appropriate choice of their employment opportunity. For that reason, at very higher levels of education, the unemployment rates are also very higher. In addition the potential of changing jobs are also advanced for educated workers. The conversion period between the present job and new job is also a magic charm of unemployment, which might be referred to as frictional unemployment. Consequently now the question is that what is the main reason of the rise in educated unemployment? Earliest, in excess of the years, there has been considerable expansion of the education sector. as a result when educated workers entered into the market labor force has increased, but the economy has unsuccessful to create equivalent employment opportunities on behalf of those workers.
On the other hand, there is inequality linking with the supply of and demand of educated Workers in the economy. It may also be discuss that the existing education system is has unsuccessful to provide the right kind of skills, opportunities and technical propensity. The skills and capability of these educated workers that are do not match the necessities of several of kinds of work and activities that are available. For example, in India the education system, many workers have ten years of schooling and they do not attain any vocational training, and therefore they are not appropriate for any skilled jobs.
Unemployment and poverty are two imperative problems of all developing countries and they are interconnected with each other .Unemployment and poverty coexist at a time, but it is not always positively connected with each other.. But unemployment and remain in underemployment are most important causes of poverty and, as a result, the provisioning of profitable employment will be fundamental for poverty reduction in economy. in view of the fact that in the Indian statistical system, poverty is considered on the foundation of Monthly Per Capita Expenditure (MPCE), accede to us now investigate the behavior of unemployment rates are unreliable levels of MPCE in rural and urban areas of India. Many African countries also facing the problem of unemployment in African countries the Growth is essential not only for growing the levels of income but also for put down the groundwork for sustainable poverty reduction policies, improving human welfare and enhancing the overall development in economy. Growth facilitates countries to enhance the accessibility and allotment of basic life supporting goods and services for example food, shelter, health, shield and protection. It also permits countries to produce more jobs and better education slandered, in that way growing the assortment of economic and social choices obtainable to individuals. For the considerate how to attain growth and how we can maintain it at high levels is the solution to understanding that how we can increase the living standard of individuals and recover poverty on the continent so that people can live happily.
From the time when the occurrence of the global crises in Africa, the GDP growth has trended downwards, even though showing some flexibility as evaluate to preceding episodes of economic recession. with the intention of growth rate was 4.9 per cent in 2008 and 1.6 per cent in 2009 outstanding mainly the demand of commodity was low and prices and a spiky fall in domestic demand specially private investment, exterior capital inflows and tourism receipts. Projected growth improvement in Africa is about 4.3 per cent in 2010 will another time rely mostly on the health of the global economy and its craving for Africa's commodity that are exported, which will increase export prices and revenue generation.
The economic crash of the global economic recession on African countries is because of that its depended more on their economic structures. The Africans Countries that are seriously dependent on mineral resources and undiversified export intention that were affected the most because of lower prices of commodity and their demand. The disaster also has an impact on social conditions of the countries, as a result there is declining in living standards of the people, particularly in that place where social protection is not well-developed. The prolonged decelerate in the world of economy that reason to transmittal, job creation, tourism and ODA start decline and as a result the unemployment to increase.
In economic theory the linear positive relationship between economic growth and employment can be supposed. There is not a common thinking related to this issue between the economist. Some suggested that there is a positive relationship between employment and economic growth and this economist are not agreed with the jobless growth. But in few recent years it is observed that unemployment problem can't be solved by economic growth alone. In economic theory the relationship between unemployment and the economic growth is explained by using Okun's Law.
Okun's Law described an enduring empirical observation that firstly made by Arthur Okun in 1962 he observed that in the postwar periods the unemployment rate was on the average, each extra percentage is above than four percent and that can be associated in real GNP with about a three percent. Because empirical finding of Okun's is well held up during the ensuing decade, the ratio was 3:1 in trade off between the real GNP growth and unemployment rate that becomes to known as Okun's Law.
Now we will explain the relationship of unemployment and inflation.In economic journalism there are many different accounts of labor market theory. All labor market effect have been clarify by theoretical point of view with the help of three major forces that are the market forces of demand and supply ,sociological factors such as cultures, customs, class, and family background and some institutional forces in the appearance of government union etc. With this framework there are different schools of thought exist in which includes the classical, the neoclassical views, and the institutional schools that are come into view in labor economics journalism. That is basis on relative significance and the working of such forces to express about specific labor market effect.
The neoclassical school of thought paying attention on the primarily operation of market forces in influencing the wages and distribution of labor, and measured other institutional and social factors as mention. On the divergent, the institutional school highlights the role of institutional forces, for instance internal labor markets and unions, and sociological factors, such as class and intolerance segmentation, in addition to stratification Unemployment in the labor market. The institutional school consequently, situates emphasis on the exclusive features of the labor market, and explains that how these forces fade away the role of market forces hence, known about the different theories and school of thoughts in labor economics journalism that how they would one explains the problem of unemployment?
Unconventional such theoretical explanations on the major problem of unemployment that have been locate ahead by different schools of thought. Of economic .Keynesian economic thoughts center of attention on be deficient in of efficient demand for goods and services that foundation is unemployment in an economy, and discuss those government policies, mutually monetary and fiscal, might be used to increase aggregate demand, therefore, increasing economic activity and sinking the unemployment and deflation. On the divergent, the Classical and Neoclassica1 Schools of thought have paying attention on labor market inflexibility, for instance minimum wage and additional regulations as clarification for unemployment in economy. But this clarification may not be sufficient enough to explain the problem of unemployment known the heterogeneity of this problem in expressions of nature, pattern magnitude, reason of unemployment, and their impact in the economy. on the other hand in this perspective it is attractive to understand an important theoretical description of the relationship between unemployment and inflation revealed by A. W. Phillips. He predicts an inverse relationship between unemployment and inflation, presenting a downward slope curve, popularly known as the Phillips curve .He clarifies the tradeoff between unemployment and inflation, and show that how any attempt by governments is helpful to reduce unemployment was liable to source increased inflation.
There are different theories related to unemployment. DifferentÂ economistsÂ distinguish between various types of and theories of unemployment, includingÂ structural unemployment, cyclical or Keynesian unemployment frictional unemployment, and classical unemployment.
Cyclical or Keynesian unemployment is also known as deficient-demand unemployment, it occurs when those who wants to do work but jobs are not provided by them due to the lack of aggregate demand in the economy. Demand for most good and services fall down, less production is needed and consequently a fewer work are needed for these goods and wages are sticky that do not fall to the meet the equilibrium level in the economy, and result is the mass unemployment . this type of unemployment occurs during the great depression of the 1930s. in cyclical unemployment the number of unemployed workers the number of existing job vacancies , so that even in full employment were attained and mostly open jobs were fille due to this some workers still remained unemployed. Cyclical unemployment is associated with frictional unemployment at some extent because the factor that cause to create frictional unemployment are partially caused by cyclical variables. For example , a decrease in the supply of money surprisely may shock rational economic factors in the economy and suddenly inhabit the aggregate demand.
Classical economist reject the conception of cyclical unemployment and gives the alternatively suggestion that is invisible hand of free market would response quickly to unemployment and underutilization of resources by a fall in wages result is rise in employment.
Keynesian economist on the other hand result is the lack of demand for jobs are potentially resolved by the govt intervention. Keynesian other suggested interventions involves deficit spending to boost employment and demand. Another intervention involves expansionary monetary policy that increases the demands of money that reduced the interest rates that leads the increase in non government spending.
Next theory is Marxist theory of unemployment this theory is presented by Karl Marx, unemployment is inherent within the unstable capitalist system and periodic crises of mass unemployment are to expected. Proletariat function within capitalist system provides "reseve army of labour" that create a downward pressure in wages. That accomplished by dividing the proletariat into surplus of labor and under employment. Reserve army of labor basically fights among themselves for the purpose of scaring jobs at lower and lower wages. At first point, unemployment seems to be inefficient since the profit of unemployed worker do not increase. However, unemployment is considered profitable within the global capitalist system because unemployment at lower wages which is the cost from the perspective of the owners and from this perspectives low wages provide the benefit of the system of reducing economic rents. Yet it does not provide benefits for workers. The capitalist system manipulates the market for labour unfairly by perpetuating unemployment which lowers laborers and demand for fair wages.
According to Marx, to eliminate the unemployment permanently there is only one way that would be to abolish the capitalism system in the economy and the system of forced competition for wages and then it shift to a socialist economic system. Acording to Marxists, existence of persistent unemployment is proof of the inability of capitalism that ensur the full employment in the economy.
Now we will discuss about involuntary unemployment. in the general theory , keynsian argued about neo-classic economic theory he said that nea-classic theory did not apply during recessions because of excessive savings and weak , poor investment in the economy. As a result people could be thrown out of work involuntarily baises and did not able to find the acceptable and reliable employment.
This conflict between the Neo-classical and keynsian theories had a very strong influence on govt policy that works. The tendency for government is to eliminate and to curtail the unemployment in the economy through increasing the benefits and govt jobs opportunities and to enhance the ability of job seekers to the both considered new careers and relocation to different city. In voluntary unemployment basically does not exist in agrarian societies and its not formally and easily recognized to existence of underdeveloped countries but it can be find in urban societies. We can take the example of mega-cities of Africa, Pakistan and india. In these societies, a suddenly unemployed person is able to meet their survival needs either by getting a new job at any wage which is being offered. Involuntary unemployment is basically discussed in novels of social suffering and from the narrative standpoint in stories.
The concept of full employment can be discussed in Demand -based theory. We can abolish the cyclical unemployment in the economy by increasing the aggregate demand for a certain product and the workers. However, due to this reason the economy hits an "inflation Barrier"
That imposed the four other kind of unemployment in the economy up to the extent that they show the existence. Some demand theories economist analysis that inflation barrier are corresponding to the natural rate of unemployment. The "natural rate of unemployment" can be define as the existence of rate of unemployment when the labor market is in equilibrium and there is the pressure for neither rising inflation rate and nor falling inflation rates. An other technical term that relates to this rate is NAIRU (Non-accelerating inflation Rate of Unemployment) one of the major problem with the NAIRU theory no one exactly know about the NAIRU what is that! Because the use of NAIRU is make hard in policy making through the margin of error can be identified quit high relatively to the actual unemployment rate in the economy. Full employment might be called as the Ideal Unemployment Rate. This rate excludes the all types of deficiencies of unemployment that represent forms of inefficiency. This type of "Full Employment" shows that unemployment will correspond to the only frictional unemployment that would be very low. So, it is impossible to attain this full employment aims using one demand side Keynsian theory without getting below the NAIRU that suffered from accelerating inflation. Accelerating inflation is arise in absent of income policies. Training programs target as fighting with structural unemployment will be helpful here.
Now we will discuss about theory that relate to the structural unemployment. This type of unemployment occurs when the labor market in unable to provide the jobs to everyone that wants to do work because there is a mismatch between the skills. That are relate to the skills of unemployed workers and the skills that needs for getting available jobs. It is hard to separate the structural unemployment from the frictional unemployment, because these are the long lasting effects. Due to the structural unemployment cyclical unemployment may also be encouraged the persistent rise in it. If certain economy suffered from long-lasting low aggregate demand it shows that many of unemployed person become disheartened. From this reason their skills become "rusty" and obsolete. As a result lots of problem arises such as people become houseless, lack of job vacancies and economy fall in vicious circle of poverty. Some economist's analysis the scenario as arising under British Prime MinisterÂ Margaret ThatcherÂ during the 1970s and 1980s.
This implication is that if there is sustainedÂ high demand result mayÂ lowerÂ structural unemployment.
Technological unemployment arises when the machines are being used except the workers. It might be counted as structural unemployment. Technological unemployment is basically refer to steady increase on labor productivity its mean that fewer worker are needed to produced the smeller level of output in every year. According to the Okun's Law the demand side must grow up to take up not only the growing labor force except also made the worker in redundant through increasing the labor productivity. Otherwise in united state in mutually the early 1990s and the early 21st century we see a jobless recovery. The term technological unemployment arises in 1930s. Gerome 1934 said that mostly technological unemployment affected the unskilled workers. This type of unemployment is historically considered temporary and the economy is used to create jobs in other sectors. However, some researcher, such as Martin Ford, inÂ The Lights in the Tunnel, Automation, step up Technology and the Economy in the Future, argue that from side to side extremely developed technology many jobs in the economy will ultimately be automated such as robotics and artificial intelligence that result is permanent and substantial structural unemployment exist in the economy.
If we talk about seasonal unemployment it might be seen as a kind of structural unemployment, but this type of unemployment linked with certain kind of jobs such as construction work, migratory farm work jobs. This kind of unemployment can be erase from statistics using and through "seasonal adjustment" techniques.
Now we will present the theory off temporary layoffs .Most workers when they are laid off are subsequently rehired in the place of original employers. For our current theories of unemployment This is an important and generally unnoticed fact that requires a major revaluation and analysis.
The Keynesian theory of unemployment is helpful by given the shaped by in the experience of the Great Depression that emphasizes the worker when they lost their job when demand fell down and they are unable to find a new job when there is increase in aggregate demand sufficiently. In such contrast, the best of the modern work on Unemployment is justified. Stigler's (1961) investigate the search behavior with a model in which the unemployed worker samples being job offers until they found one that is exceeds their optimal reservation wage. In this view, Layoffs are characterized as involuntary situation while the returns to work are regarded as the choice of the individual employees. A number of writers who have suggested that the unemployment is serious problem that associated with these layoffs apparently involuntary instead substantial number of voluntary quits.
These theoretical formulations pay no attention to the devastating consequence of temporary layoffs. Most workers stay behind with a single firm for a very extensive period even though they may experience many spells of temporary unemployment. Most of those who are lay off be familiar with that they will quickly come back to their employer, confined by superiority arrangements and by their job-specific human capital. For those the theory of job search is largely unrelated furthermore, in distinction to the job search theory, it is the employers who decide the durations of these individuals 'spell of unemployment.
The conservative characteristic between quits as voluntary and layoffs as involuntary also come to an end to be applicable. Because workers stay behind with the same employer from side to side numerous spells of unemployment, the regularity and duration of temporary layoffs must be regard as part of the total package of compensation and circumstances In a competitive labor market, employers would have to propose the economically reasonable combination of unemployment, wages, and conditions that in the favor of workers. In cooperative negotiate
Situations, the basic pattern of temporary layoffs may be an unambiguous part of the labor contract. even though any fastidious layoff possibly involuntary, the basic general pattern and rules are the effect of explicit or implicit voluntary agreements. in addition even particular layoffs might be Voluntary. Many other collective-bargaining agreements hold "inverse seniority" supplies that provide the most efficient senior workers the opportunity to be out of work first and rehired last. Union agreement may also need that firms lay workers off instead of dropping the average hours per week.
Capital which increases the productivity of human capital and its rise the living slandered of human beings Education and health endowments of the individuals are the necessary and very important component of human. For effective utilization of physical and natural capital, technology and skills human capital is required.
Bing without jobs a person is idleness that who are able and enthusiastic to do work but cannot find jobs. In many societies people living based upon their earning and they earn by working for others . the proportion of the unemployed workers in a societies explain how well a nation's human resources are being used and provide as an index of economic movement. Unemployment has great concern with Nigeria economy. It is the major macroeconomics feature of the government. Unemployment represents a sequence of serious developmental problem in a country and is increasingly more serious in all over Nigeria. The major policy of
International agencies and government is targeted to reduce the rate of unemployment in country. The developing nations has characterized by unemployment since the population explosion begun.
William Phillips, (1958) in his paper "In United Kingdom 1861-1957 describe The Relationship between Unemployment and the Rate of Change of Money Wages", Phillips examine thee British economy period and describe how to observed an inverse relationship between money wages changes and unemployment .Phillips in his work he made an explicit to create link between unemployment and inflation. According to him unemployment and inflation has inverse relationship when unemployment is high the inflation is low and vice versa.
Lipsey's (1960) studies found that for different periods the relationship shifted over time as indicated by difference in the estimated coefficients. All the that carried out in 1960s tends to shows that unemployment and inflation and wages significant a non linear relationship. Phillips studies has generated many empirical studies for seek relationship between inflation, unemployment and the rate of change of money wages. Some other studies incorporated with some explanatory variables for wage and inflation. Some studies suggested that unemployment is very significant for the explanation of wage inflation. Many other studies used the price inflation instead of wage inflation.
According to the previous studies view, as the economy grows with weaker employers, it will seek to keep workers in whom that they have devoted to a job specific training. It is generally supposed that employers put up with the cost of training .The need to protect a go back on such investment in training that would guide employers to keep skilled workers, therefore throw the full effect of recession onto less skilled and untrained workers.
Reder (1964) also suggests that employers may wish to hold skilled workers, only in his vision this is only because such workers acquire overall productive superiority because of their ability to generalize their skills amongst many action.
Fullan and Loubser (1972) recognize the different dimensions of adaptive skills, and he examine qualitatively the relationship among education and foremost dimensions of adaptive capacity, the capacity for variation that means the ability to produce new ideas and alternative solutions of problems and the capacity for selective retention that means the ability to estimate and accordingly select and apply new ideas to the solution of all hurdles and problems.
In 1920s an American economist conduct research (irving Fisher, 1973) analysis this type of phillips curve relationship. However Phillips original curve described the behavior of mony wages. A simple Philips curve indicates the relationship between rate of unemployment and inflation. The relation on the cure shows that when the unemployment rate is decrease the inflation rate is climbed. When the unemployment rate is increase the inflation rate is drop. What does its actual mean? Well very essentially, when the unemployment is decrease more people are able to do work as a result the output of individual is higher than normal. Higher output and and employment tends to an increase in the price level because the firm have to pay their workers more and more because the unemployment is low that make worker to easier to find other jobs and its difficult to firm to hire new workers; and there are not many people are unemployed i:e looking for work.
Although a huge literature is available on the wage structure by education, slight research is dedicated to the empirical relationship between education and unemployment.
Amongst the exceptional studies, Nickell (1979) examines the impact of education on unemployment occurrence, understood the same as the probability of being unemployed at a given time, after that analysis the impact of education on the period of unemployment is based on a basic description of a revelation rate model. Combining the information on the impact of education on the period and on the occurrence of unemployment enables him to obtain education particular probabilities of inflow in unemployment.
The results explain by Great-Britain that the level of education powerfully influence the probability of becoming unemployed person during working life, but rather weakly affects
the expected duration of unemployment spells. Specifically, unemployment insurance benefits which are observe as a "search subsidy" result is the lower the opportunity cost of job search, that gives time to the unemployed person to find not just a job, but "the right job" (Burdett, 1979).
Some scholars said that private employment intermediaries are more competent and of higher quality as compared with public intermediaries, and also the development of private employment agencies that must be optimistic (Pissarides, 1979; William Clark, 1988; Peter, 1996).
An increase in the general level of unemployment is come with by a greater percentage rise in unemployment surrounded by young people. on the other hand, during the periods of economic development young people are employ in disproportionately greater numbers than adults person, foremost to a faster decrease in their level of unemployment.
As a contrast to adults, young people are less knowledgeable, probably they have less skilled, have need of more training and, for different institutional cause affects the costs of appointment and firing, and it may be considered more flexible workforce. From this opinion young people are in a related labor market position to other groups at the point of margins of the labor force that can be unskilled or unqualified. The pattern of job opportunities is accessible to young people that will reproduce the pattern of demand by employers and for the low productivity for workers. Numerous studies have exposed that the employment of young people is cyclically sensitive (Makeham, 1980: Layard, 1982: Raffe, 1984).
Levacic and Redmann (1982) according to him one can move from a relationship between unemployment, rate of change in money wages and the rate of change in price level. Unemployment by allowing for long run changes in the productivity of labor.
while in preceding periods, the profound recession of the early in 1980s encouraged apprehension in excess of the effects of new technology, foremost a joint committee of the National Academy ofSciences, National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine to generate the section on Technology and Employment. The section check up the effects of technology on the whole employment levels, the occupational allocation of employment, job displacement,wages, skills, and budding training and education necessities (Cyert and Mowery 1987, pp. 209 f.).
The panel concluded that technology is a diffident provider to job loss, stagnant earnings, , skill improvement and discrimination growth and cited slow economic growth and maybe trade considered as added culprits (Cyert and Mowery 1987, pp.viii, 60 f., 86).
The panel renowned the subsistence of similar reservations about the effects of technology during the Depression and the late 1950s-early 1960s period and how they discolored when full employment return (Cyert and Mowery 1987, pp. 87 ff.).
Employment awareness of young people is dissimilar from other labor market contributor that is probably patently obvious. on the other hand, it is to say that young people experience brings different outcomes at the time when they enter in the labor market and in their early years of employment in the contrast of older workers itis not to say that young people are working in a separate labor market. A 'labor market' by generically define as "the mechanism through which labor services are bought and sold and is the means by which the separate decisions of workers and employers are co-ordinate" (Hasluck, 1987).
(Jacob Mincer 1991b) also explore the relationship for men as well as for women though with a diverse methodology. His investigation is based on the disintegration of the unemployment rate into different mechanism the probability of having separated from the preceding job, the probability of experiencing unemployment when it separated, the duration of unemployment for job separators and the labor force rate as well as the labor force contribution rate for women. He after that explains the gross unemployment differential between educational groups by difference in the various mechanisms and finally tries to recognize the impact of education, net of other characteristics, on the mechanism in a term by term by multivariate investigation. He concludes that in the United States, educational unemployment differential are distant more attributable to the reality that the higher education diminish the occurrence of unemployment than for the reason that it reduces the length of unemployment.
Aghion and Howitt (1994) analysis the effect of economic growth rates on unemployment in the long run periods and found that there is a negative relationship exists between these two variables. They also indicate that when employment opportunities raised as a result of economic growth in a country also increase as a result the return of capital and natural rate of unemployment are decrease. But finally, the natural rate of unemployment becomes rise due to an increase in insufficient new investments and frictional unemployment.
Here we examine the information technology with the relationship workforce. There is a great effects of computer technology on employment that Must be distinguished with the effects of the fluctuations in firm-specific Demand, business cycle, and other changes that are might be unrelated with the technology, such as growth in import and offshore production in the economy. If IT represent an unprecedented economic development, than one must show not only change but also accelerate the pace of change in the economy.
A great deal of public concern that always focused on the question that whether in general technology is eliminates the need for human labor. The most extreme version of this idea discuss that in future economy will require virtually no workers, because of massive unemployment and idleness in the economy (Aronowitz and Difazio 1994; and Rifkin 1995).
King and Welling (1995) indicated the effects of technological development on unemployment and economic growth in certain economy
The principal and objection to the thesis of a jobless future is that technology-induced efficiencies at lower prices that give consumers more wealth, which they can use to increase
their consumption of goods or services, that includes those price whose has dropped. In this
situation the increased in productivity is the result of increased output and employment, but it is assume that producers do not have monopoly power to maintain prices level and reap all the gains that shows the improvements and that consumers are used to increase consumption power instead of save their new wealth. Expansion in the industries is responsible for the new labor-saving technologies in the economy such as computers that also enhance the employment.
(OECD 1996, p. 9 ff.; and Cyert and Mowery 1987, pp. 1 f.)
This view suggests that there are unique features to the youth labor market, which differentiate it from the adult labor market. These features are derived from the keeping out of young people from several sectors of the labor market and the subsistence of jobs for which only young people are employed. The origin of this separation of the labor market into that, what are fundamentally and non-competing groups, is the observation by employers that labor is not easily substitutable .therefore in some parts of the labor market young people and adults are not in struggle with one another for getting jobs.
The observation that the youth and adult labor markets are undifferentiated has been challenged by those who emphasize the highly structured nature of labor markets in general, and youth markets in particular (Ashton and Maguire, 1983: Ashton, Maguire and Spilsbury, 1990: Roberts, 1995).
The problem according to this view is that there is no objection in principle why the number
of jobs shaped that would essentially fully make up for the those that are lost their jobs. Though many Economists initiate some confidence from their empirical record, which usually has not be Support the more and intensive predictions of technological unemployment that have been higher since the Industrial Revolution on track.
conversely even those who do not believe that information technology poses a intimidation to overall employment be familiar with that there is less reason to presume that labor-saving efficiencies will survive precisely balanced by increased labor demand on behalf of particular category of workers. If consumers make use of money saved from price declines in one industry to buy goods or services provide by another industry, the jobs formed possibly very different from those that are mislaid, and several workers may bear the kind of structural unemployment describe earlier If labor demand do plunge for some groups, employment levels can be maintain only at the cost of lower wages (OECD 1996, pp. 10 ff.).
In 1965, President Lyndon Johnson selected a National Commission onTechnology, Automation, and Economic Progress, that accomplished that the major foundationof high unemployment was slow economic growth, not technological revolutionize, though bythe time when the report was issue, the position was debatable; economic growth was resume inserious. By 1965, the tax cut and growing government expenditure lead to a quick beg off in unemployment and a flourishing economy for the break of the decade. Admired and scholastic anxiety among automation and structural unemployment mostly vanish replicate the occurrence of the Depression and World War II periods (Woirol 1996, pp. 111, 127).
In both the 1930s and early 1960s, accepted apprehension helped fuel government investigation and expert debates, but the majority of economists understood that the problem of technology im induce unemployment had been overstated in both cases, even though others take a opposite observation In both cases the discussion discolored not for the reason that of credible research conclusion or professional agreement however for the reason of improved in economic activity (Woirol 1996,pp. 8 f.).
The impact of labor transmit on employment superiority of dispatched workers is a multifaceted issue. Current research paid additional concentration on job security and career development, wages and benefits, of the dispatched workers. Regarding the impact on wages and welfare, most research argues that dispatched workers obtain lower wages as compared with the formal staff (Nollen, 1996; Segal, 1997; Rudolph & Schröder, 1997).
There is the relationship between exchange rate and unemployment. (Buscher and Mueller, 1997).
Kettunen (1997) investigate the link between education and the period of unemployment on the basis of a Weibull duration model with detached mixing allocation for Finland. Education is originated to have a strong effect on the period of unemployment.
Up to a assured level, a higher level of education increases the danger of exiting unemployment, but further than the bachelor's degree, the re-employment probability decreases again, and unemployed individuals with a master's or doctor's degree have
the lowest probability of re-employment.
In France and Germany, conversely only a few studies are specifically targeted at investigate the relationship between education and unemployment. Brauns, Gangl and Scherer (1999), for instance, investigate the educational stratification of unemployment in early labor market occupation and its institutional embodiment by evaluate the situation in the United Kingdom, France and Germany. This investigation does not aim at explaining the dynamics of unemployment but relatively consists in estimation from a static point of vision the impact of educational attainment on the unemployment hazard in the transition phase from education to work. Based on simple logic estimates, the analysis concludes that Germany is differentiate by a fairly smooth access to initial employment for vocationally qualified graduates, while extensive
job search is restricted to the least qualified. Once creative employment has been originate education plays a slight role for the hazard of unemployment, which is more tied to the characteristics of the position occupied. In contrast, in France and the United Kingdom, access to first employment is more difficult and the role of educational achievement is originate to be less prominent However, educational achievement appear to preserve a more important role than in Germany with respect to protect employment.
European Labor Force Survey data (ELFS) (Mosley, 1997) and the Ford Foundation (Pastor et al.ï¼Œ2001) study are the most delegate. It was originate that, compared with the official search channels such as labor market intermediaries and the familiar search channels such as social network are the major job search method. In common job-seekers may achieve higher wages through familiar channels rather than official search channels like the PES. There is the substitution between social network and the labor market intermediaries. Derived from the working-age population survey in UK,
Mainly studies overseas show that the labor market intermediaries have a optimistic and momentous impact on employment. While as nonprofit organization, employment intermediary has a positive impact on decreasing unemployment and increasing the employment rate in economy (Thomas, 1997; Martin, 1997; Denis, 2005; Lee, 2007).
Most scholars believe that labor transmit agencies are able to successfully help the unemployed, particularly the temporary unemployed to search new jobs.(Segal & Sullivan, 1997; Otoo, 1999;
In India, Visaria (1998) found that in India main reasons of unemployment in Indian youth is lack of education and working experience.
1. Krugman (1998) is the base of modern work on the zero inferior bounce. The papers regard as an economy is lacking labor input, as a result the subject of unemployment does not take place In the explanation section of the paper, the current price level is permanent Productive capacity will be lower in the expectations than it is presently All output is addicted; the economy has no means to pass resources into the outlook with storage or productive capital. as a result full resource utilization entail declining the consumption, which entail a low or yet negative real interest rate. Some time ago a monetary expansion constrain the nominal rate to zero, it has no additional effect. If the public expect less than a critical rate of inflation, the subsequent real rate is deficiency in the estimated rate of inflation rate will go beyond on the full utilization of real rate. Excess supply of existing output will overcome for that reason the public's desire is put off consumption. To get across consumption into equilibrium, current output and therefore current consumption falls to below the full-consumption value. The zero lower bound are the reasons of depressed economy. Krugman's investigate the clarity to the subject of the liquidity trap-zero lower bound. All subsequent papers have followed the same basic theorist is excess in real interest rate as a result from some negative force that are the reasons of a low equilibrium rate involve that the negative force and it is due to a drop in current resource utilization.
As specific agencies for human capital allotment labor market is intermediaries diminish the search costs and threat Meanwhile, economies of scale in the collection and processing of information can be achieved (Osterman, 1999)
Mortensen& Pissarides (1999) describe the conclusion that decreases of dismissal cost have a optimistic impact on the employment scale. with regard to the impact of labor transmit on frictional unemployment, there is a general agreement on the winding up obtained. Most scholars believe that labor transmit agencies be able to efficiently help the unemployed, in particular the temporary unemployed, discover new jobs,
In a theoretical study, Marimon and Zilibotti (1999), recommend that in a labour market with exploration of frictions unemployment benefits have a propensity to reduce the job mismatch.
Wolbers (2000) examine the outcome of education on the mobility among employment and unemployment for the case of the Netherlands. The research relate a single risk detached danger rate on the other hand the impact of the education level on the probability that an employed individual enters in employment, and alternatively the effect of education on the probability to exit unemployment and getting re-employed. It comes into view that less educated have a bigger chance of incoming unemployment than the improved educated, and they also have inferior prediction of exiting unemployment. Alternatively, the link is not linear. For Incidence University graduates have a greater probability of encountering unemployment than individuals with higher vocational education, but there are hardly any Differences in the unemployment exit rates of people with secondary and tertiary Education.
Joutard and Ruggiero (2000) estimate a structural model of unemployment period with a discrete time Weibull specification, during the job seekers may wait for the possible reappearance of unemployment spells. Their estimation focus on the function of qualification and gender as observe unemployment period. They find out that in France, the highest degree acquire plays an all the more important role as the professional position is of high level. Furthermore the level of education achieve revolve out to be a more perceptive factor for women than for men.
Böheim & Taylor (2001) investigate the utilization of different search channels and their impact on employment. They initiate that the choice of job search channels is affected by demographic factors such as skill level, age, family income ,educational level, , unemployment duration and the restricted unemployment rate.
The study on the users of Italian public employment services (PES) and its efficiency by Giann Barbieri, Pietro Gennari and Paolo Sestito (2001) originate the factors that manipulate the relevance of public employment services are generally associated with the demographic factors its contain gender, age, education, employment situation of other family members, family status, job search channels chosen by other family members, years after education ,work experience, and the reasons for remained unemployed, these are the L